Saturday, April 4, 2015

A Benjamin's take on Iran's nuclear statistics

A Benjamin's take on  Iran's nuclear statistics


Somebody once said:

"There's lies, and damn lies and, then statistics".

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  1. Lies, damned lies, and statistics - Wikipedia, the free ...

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lies,_damned_lies,_and_statistics

    Wikipedia
    "Liesdamned lies, and statistics" is a phrase describing the persuasive power of ...(1804–1881): "There are three kinds of lies: liesdamned lies, and statistics.
  2. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  3. I thought that such an expression had been bred
  4. in the brain
  5.  of Mark Twain,
  6.  but he himself  ascribed it to Benjamin Disraeli, instead..
  7. But in any case , it has arisen   in many another  place,
  8. which  includes ,as  has been recently  obviously  true,
  9. the mind and mouth of another  Benjamin, Mr. Netanyahu.
  10. -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  11. Image for the news result

    ... now in a powerful position to undermine the Iran nuclear deal, his counterpart's signature ...
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  13. For, even if we believe  a frequent statisticians song
  14. that a  5 percent chance , or one in twenty, 
  15. of insurance against things going wrong,. 
  16. is usually considered to be plenty,
  17. would that  that still be true, 
  18. might well ask Mr. Netanyahu,
  19. when  such a significance error
  20. could    lead to unimaginable terror?

  21. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    1. Statistical significance - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

      en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statistical_significance

      Wikipedia
      In statistics, statistical significance (or a statistically significant result) is .... with p-values (in cases where the effect being tested for is defined in terms of an effect  ...
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  23. Besides, to make things worse,
  24. and what's really  keeping him up at night.
  25. he feels the odds are really  the reverse,
  26. with only about a one in twenty chance of things going right--

  27. His repose is not helped by the  stretchy  oratorical pajamas
  28. now being offered by his   'friends' , the Kerrys and Obamas,
  29. especially since  the 'deal", when   translated from its English version,
  30.  sounds quite different , and more menacing, when put   in Persian. 


  31. HZL
  32. 4/4/15
  33. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  34. Image for the news result

    The United States and Iran had vastly different objectives in their nuclear talks. ... and Foreign Minister Javad Zarif areseen by many as national heroes for negotiating a deal ...

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