Wednesday, August 24, 2016
A WEATHER FORECAST
Here's Tropical depression 99L
which may or may not become Hermine,
and if doesn't, it's just as well
though that still remains to be seen.
Behind all its possible gyrations
there are lots of complicated calculations
involving nonlinear partial differential equations
which are insoluble and thus lead to frustrations
often requiring improvised mathematical tricks,
including Monte Carlo methods and statistics:
In other words--even with today's supercomputers:
when it's headed your way, you'd better keep tuned
If you don't want your house and/or car to be ruined,
HzL
8/15/16
Numerical weather prediction - Wikipedia, the free ...
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Numerical_weather_prediction
Numerical weather prediction uses mathematical ... the window in which numerical weather forecasting is viable ... stochastic Monte Carlo simulations to ...
Lagged average forecasting, an alternative to Monte Carlo …
https://www.aer.com/news-events/resource-library/lagged-average...
Lagged average forecasting, ... Lagged average forecasting, an alternative to Monte Carlo forecasting. ... is the most skillful of the forecast methods ...
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/media/image/3/5/barometer-24-512x288-book.jpg
Invisible in the Storm
The role of maths in weather and climate prediction
9 August 2013
In their new book, 'Invisible in the Storm: The Role of Mathematics in Understanding Weather', mathematicians Ian Roulstone (University of Surrey) and John Norbury (University of Oxford) explore how mathematics and meteorology come together to improve weather and climate prediction. Here they share their insight into maths, numerical weather prediction and climate models.
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